ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE
NOMINEES
CHRISTIAN BALE <<SHOULD WIN
Vice
BRADLEY COOPER
A Star Is Born
WILLEM DAFOE
At Eternity's Gate
RAMI MALEK. <<WILL WIN. barf.
Bohemian Rhapsody
VIGGO MORTENSEN
Green Book
Malik is a talented actor who overacts like Jim Carrey in...well, every Jim Carrey movie. It's not a character he creates, it's a characakture. But he's won everything else, it would be a shock if he didn't win this as well.
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
NOMINEES
MAHERSHALA ALI
Green Book
ADAM DRIVER
BlacKkKlansman
SAM ELLIOTT
A Star Is Born
RICHARD E. GRANT. <<WILL WIN. SHOULD WIN
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
SAM ROCKWELL
Vice
I am calling for a mild upset here over the favorite Ali. Grant has been a well-respected member of this community for 30+ years, giving excellent performances with little to no fanfare. This is the perfect time to reward him, given that Ali won a statue last year.
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE
NOMINEES
YALITZA APARICIO
Roma
GLENN CLOSE. <<WILL WIN. SHOULD WIN
The Wife
OLIVIA COLMAN
The Favourite
LADY GAGA
A Star Is Born
MELISSA MCCARTHY
Can You Ever Forgive Me?
McCarthy won a Razzie yesterday, winning this would be quite a daily-double, but no chance. I am sorry, Gaga, you are a superstar who would deserve this award in almost ANY other year, but this is a no-brainer. One of the great performances in the recent history of cinema.
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE
NOMINEES
AMY ADAMS
Vice
MARINA DE TAVIRA
Roma
REGINA KING
If Beale Street Could Talk
EMMA STONE. <<SHOULD WIN
The Favourite
RACHEL WEISZ. <<WILL WIN
The Favourite
It says a lot about this class that absolutely nobody is talking about the incredible work that Amy Adams did, and has done for her entire career. One year she's going to get one of these, but it won't be this year. If Weisz doesn't win, look for the very popular Regina King to walk away with the hardware, in the only film in any of the acting categories that I have yet to see.
ANIMATED FEATURE FILM
NOMINEES
INCREDIBLES 2
Brad Bird, John Walker and Nicole Paradis Grindle
ISLE OF DOGS
Wes Anderson, Scott Rudin, Steven Rales and Jeremy Dawson
MIRAI
Mamoru Hosoda and Yuichiro Saito
RALPH BREAKS THE INTERNET
Rich Moore, Phil Johnston and Clark Spencer
SPIDER-MAN: INTO THE SPIDER-VERSE. <<WILL WIN.
Bob Persichetti, Peter Ramsey, Rodney Rothman, Phil Lord and Christopher Miller
DIRECTING
NOMINEES
BLACKKKLANSMAN
Spike Lee
COLD WAR
Paweł Pawlikowski
THE FAVOURITE
Yorgos Lanthimos
ROMA. <<WILL WIN. SHOULD WIN
Alfonso Cuarón
VICE
Adam McKay
Will this be the year that the Academy makes up to Spike Lee for their unforgivable snub of Do the Right Thing, 30 years ago? Not likely. Cuarón is a near-lock here for everything he did to bring this beautiful, poignant little film to life.
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM
NOMINEES
CAPERNAUM
Lebanon
COLD WAR
Poland
NEVER LOOK AWAY
Germany
ROMA. <<WILL WIN. SHOULD WIN
Mexico
SHOPLIFTERS
Japan
It has a reasonable chance to win Best Picture, so this is the lock of the night.
MUSIC (ORIGINAL SONG)
NOMINEES
ALL THE STARS
from Black Panther; Music by Kendrick Lamar, Mark “Sounwave” Spears and Anthony “Top Dawg” Tiffith; Lyric by Kendrick Lamar, SZA and Anthony “Top Dawg” Tiffith
I'LL FIGHT
from RBG; Music and Lyric by Diane Warren
THE PLACE WHERE LOST THINGS GO
from Mary Poppins Returns; Music by Marc Shaiman; Lyric by Scott Wittman and Marc Shaiman
SHALLOW. <<WILL WIN. SHOULD WIN
from A Star Is Born; Music and Lyric by Lady Gaga, Mark Ronson, Anthony Rossomando and Andrew Wyatt
WHEN A COWBOY TRADES HIS SPURS FOR WINGS
from The Ballad of Buster Scruggs; Music and Lyric by Gillian Welch and David Rawlings
Another 100% guaranteed lock.
BEST PICTURE
NOMINEES
BLACK PANTHER
Kevin Feige, Producer
BLACKKKLANSMAN
Sean McKittrick, Jason Blum, Raymond Mansfield, Jordan Peele and Spike Lee, Producers
BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY
Graham King, Producer
THE FAVOURITE
Ceci Dempsey, Ed Guiney, Lee Magiday and Yorgos Lanthimos, Producers
GREEN BOOK
Jim Burke, Charles B. Wessler, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly and Nick Vallelonga, Producers
ROMA
Gabriela Rodríguez and Alfonso Cuarón, Producers
A STAR IS BORN. <<WILL WIN. SHOULD WIN
Bill Gerber, Bradley Cooper and Lynette Howell Taylor, Producers
VICE
Dede Gardner, Jeremy Kleiner, Adam McKay and Kevin Messick, Producers
Definitely not a lock, but this was the best film of the year, by a pretty wide margin, and I am going to give the Academy enough credit to come to their senses. If an upset happens, look for Roma to prevail. If Bohemian Rhapsody wins, I am going to throw my TV off the balcony and never watch another movie. I mean, good grief.
VISUAL EFFECTS
NOMINEES
AVENGERS: INFINITY WAR. <<WILL WIN. SHOULD WIN
Dan DeLeeuw, Kelly Port, Russell Earl and Dan Sudick
CHRISTOPHER ROBIN
Christopher Lawrence, Michael Eames, Theo Jones and Chris Corbould
FIRST MAN
Paul Lambert, Ian Hunter, Tristan Myles and J.D. Schwalm
READY PLAYER ONE
Roger Guyett, Grady Cofer, Matthew E. Butler and David Shirk
SOLO: A STAR WARS STORY
Rob Bredow, Patrick Tubach, Neal Scanlan and Dominic Tuohy
I mean, this epic film has to win SOMETHING, right?
WRITING (ADAPTED SCREENPLAY)
NOMINEES
THE BALLAD OF BUSTER SCRUGGS
Written by Joel Coen & Ethan Coen
BLACKKKLANSMAN
Written by Charlie Wachtel & David Rabinowitz and Kevin Willmott & Spike Lee
CAN YOU EVER FORGIVE ME?
Screenplay by Nicole Holofcener and Jeff Whitty
IF BEALE STREET COULD TALK
Written for the screen by Barry Jenkins
A STAR IS BORN. <<WILL WIN. SHOULD WIN
Screenplay by Eric Roth and Bradley Cooper & Will Fetters
BlackKKlanseman might come through here, as the Academy's way of honoring Lee, but I'm going to call the Best Picture winner to win for it's screenplay.
WRITING (ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY)
NOMINEES
THE FAVOURITE
Written by Deborah Davis and Tony McNamara
FIRST REFORMED
Written by Paul Schrader
GREEN BOOK
Written by Nick Vallelonga, Brian Currie, Peter Farrelly <<WILL WIN. SHOULD WIN
ROMA
Written by Alfonso Cuarón
VICE
Written by Adam McKay
Green Book is too good to come away with absolutely nothing, so this will have to be their consolation prize.
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